“Naive Risk Management At Best… Fatally Foolish At Worst”

Sanctuary Asia

Feb-Mar, 2025

https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7295492196168822786/

My Op-Ed for February 2025 issue of Sanctuary Asia.

With a bull on rampage – the strain of a highly pathogenic avian influenza virus H5N1 currently spreading among dairy cows in the US – seems to be getting overlooked. It is reportedly one mutation away to readily latch on to human cells found in the upper airway. If and when that happens, will it be consigned as yet another black swan? As of now the ‘pandemic segment’ is monetization in progress.

Climate models are falling behind reality. New research reveals more extreme and unexpected climate changes than models predict. The gap between models and reality is widening. Science is clear – the climate is changing faster than we are prepared for.

The proposed “Climate Endgame” research agenda provides one way to navigate this under-studied area. Facing a future of accelerating climate change while blind to worst-case scenarios is “naive risk management at best and fatally foolish at worst.”